A total of 72,727,416 people voted, which is equal to 47.1% of the Mexican electorate.
• If we consider this election as a litmus test for the current Government, the results can be perceived as positive, but only if we contemplate the impact of the PRI’s alliance with the PVEM.
• All parties were punished to a degree in the state elections, mainly due to a widespread demand to fight corruption.
• The largest dissenting vote was for the PRD, although this is due largely to the realignment of the Left.
• The results must be treated with caution, since the slightest differential margin in some districts could alter the composition of the Lower House.
But what do these results mean?
• The Federal Government will not have to negotiate in order to approve secondary reforms, since its alliance with the PVEM guarantee a simple majority, offering better conditions to negotiate the 2016 Federal Budget.
• The opposition will have little room for negotiation and to counteract or set its agenda.
• The second half of President Enrique Peña Nieto’s Government could be more flexible in terms of its relationship with the opposition.
• However, the Senate remains finely balanced, and this could be used to center consensus building or face a possible legislative impasse.