The Mexican election and what the historic victory means for the country

On June 7, Mexico elected 500 members of the Lower House, nine state Governors, 17 state Congresses and 993 City Mayors. But what do the results mean for the nation? Our Global Partners, Grupo Estrategia Politica, discuss the results.

A total of 72,727,416 people voted, which is equal to 47.1% of the Mexican electorate.

• If we consider this election as a litmus test for the current Government, the results can be perceived as positive, but only if we contemplate the impact of the PRI’s alliance with the PVEM.
• All parties were punished to a degree in the state elections, mainly due to a widespread demand to fight corruption.
• The largest dissenting vote was for the PRD, although this is due largely to the realignment of the Left.
• The results must be treated with caution, since the slightest differential margin in some districts could alter the composition of the Lower House.

But what do these results mean?

• The Federal Government will not have to negotiate in order to approve secondary reforms, since its alliance with the PVEM guarantee a simple majority, offering better conditions to negotiate the 2016 Federal Budget.
• The opposition will have little room for negotiation and to counteract or set its agenda.
• The second half of President Enrique Peña Nieto’s Government could be more flexible in terms of its relationship with the opposition.
• However, the Senate remains finely balanced, and this could be used to center consensus building or face a possible legislative impasse.

Download the full report here.

GEP

Author

Lauren Roden

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